Where Will Cerebras Stock be in 3 Years?

Analysts would have been satisfied with a 2026 revenue guidance of $824.8 million, but the gradual slowdown in growth the company is indicating over the course of the year hasn’t gone down well with investors. Additionally, the company’s non-GAAP gross margin forecast for 2026 is another reason why Cerebras stock fell 20% following its earnings report.

Cerebras reported a non-GAAP gross margin of 47% in Q1. However, it expects to report a non-GAAP gross margin of 38% to 41% for the full year. Cerebras attributes this gross margin pressure to its strategy of renting its own chip systems back from an existing customer to fulfill its contractual backlog. Cerebras points out that this margin pressure will be temporary and should ease as it brings its own data center capacity online.

Cerebras CEO Andrew Feldman pointed out on the earnings call that the company is engaged with data center builders in North America, Europe, and the Middle East. As a result, Cerebras is confident of adding new capacity quickly going forward. Once that happens, the company’s margins should start getting better. Throw in the massive backlog of more than $20 billion that Cerebras reported last quarter, and it won’t be surprising to see the company quickly moving toward profitability. This is what analysts are anticipating.

The valuation is a concern, but the stock could jump impressively over the next three years

The biggest problem with Cerebras right now is its valuation. The stock trades at 65 times sales, and the gradual slowdown it is forecasting in top-line growth for the rest of the year doesn’t justify that multiple. The U.S. tech sector, for comparison, has an average price-to-sales ratio of 9.1.

However, as Cerebras adds more data center capacity using its proprietary chips, it should be able to step on the gas once again. Not surprisingly, analysts are expecting a significant acceleration in its top-line growth in 2027 and 2028.

Cerebras can indeed achieve such stunning growth, given its backlog, thereby justifying its premium valuation. Let’s say it trades at even 15 times sales after three years and achieves $7.4 billion in revenue in 2028, its market cap could increase to $111 billion. That suggests potential upside of 175% from current levels.

So, investors looking for a growth stock can consider accumulating Cerebras following its sharp pullback in recent weeks, as it can bounce back and deliver healthy gains over the next three years.

Should you buy stock in Cerebras Systems right now?

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Harsh Chauhan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Broadcom, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has adisclosure policy.

Where Will Cerebras Stock be in 3 Years? was originally published by The Motley Fool