McDonald’s is one of the most popular restaurants in the world, but the company has been witnessing a troubling shift in customer behavior lately as the economy strains many of its customers, forcing them to reduce their visits.
Customers can’t be blamed, given that prices across the quick-service restaurant (QSR) industry have risen sharply, making fast food considerably pricier than in the past. When I went recently, a six-piece McNuggets, a small Sprite, and small fries cost me about $8. Crazy expensive, no? Still, it’s not uncommon to go to McDonald’s and see value menu deals over $10, making the cost of lunch or dinner for a small family feel more like casual dining than fast food.
Unfortunately, it doesn’t appear to be getting any better. The latest inflation data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index shows that food-away-from-home prices increased 3.7% in September year over year.
With prices rising, it’s little wonder that more people are skipping the Drive-thru—a trend that, according to Placer.ai, has worsened, adding more pressure on McDonald’s.
McDonald’s (MCD) foot traffic declined by 3.5% overall in the third quarter, according to a recent report from Placer.ai. But digging into the data, the numbers are even more concerning. New store openings partially offset the number. Remove those locations from the equation, and traffic to stores open at least a year slipped 4%.
“The quick-service category is under pressure from multiple fronts: persistent inflation, shifting consumer behavior, value-menu fatigue, and even the growing adoption of GLP-1 weight-loss drugs, which are dampening demand for food consumed away from home,” wrote Placer.ai.
Consumers are increasingly cautious about spending, especially households with lower total incomes—McDonald’s core customer. Rising layoffs and inflation outstripping wage gains are a big and persistent headwind.
“We’ve got lower-income consumers that remain under pressure; their visits to QSR [industrywide] were down double-digit again in Q2,” noted McDonald’s CFO Ian Borden on the company’s second quarter earnings call.
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Year founded: 1940
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Number of locations worldwide: 43,477 in 2024.
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Annual revenue: $25.9 billion in 2024.
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Employees: >2 million worldwide, including franchises.
Source: SEC 10-K filing.

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